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Qual 242011 St. Louis Regional
Red58
93121.8
240811.6
29178.0
Blue4
11785.9
28935.8
17239.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21211020304050584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#3
21.83.1
13.0→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.5
1723
#19
9.40.9
8.0→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2408
#15
11.63.1
2.5→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.7
1178
#16
5.91.4
6.1→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2917
#27
8.03.1
5.7→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2893
#11
5.81.4
7.2→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—