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Qual 262011 St. Louis Regional
Red38
35197.1
93121.8
328435.9
Blue78
198541.9
38587.0
165810.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001201403878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#2
35.90.8
33.5→32.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.9
1985
#1
41.91.8
34.4→36.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
931
#3
21.81.4
16.0→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.5
1658
#10
10.33.0
5.4→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3519
#13
7.11.4
5.2→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
3858
#20
7.03.0
1.7→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—