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Red21
11785.9
283811.9
33978.9
Blue15
165810.3
17239.4
12889.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202601030405060702115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.90.0
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1658
#10
10.30.9
8.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3397
#17
8.90.0
5.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1288
#26
9.60.9
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1178
#16
5.90.0
6.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1723
#19
9.40.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End