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Qual 362011 St. Louis Regional
Red30
165810.3
38683.8
93121.8
Blue14
283811.9
28935.8
38621.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301302040506070803014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#3
21.80.2
16.2→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.0
2838
#8
11.90.2
8.8→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1658
#10
10.30.2
7.6→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
2893
#11
5.80.1
6.2→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3868
#24
3.80.2
3.6→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
3862
#25
1.90.2
0.9→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—