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Red84
283811.9
29786.7
198541.9
Blue49
165810.3
33978.9
120819.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552304060801008449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.7
36.738.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
1208
#14
19.71.5
14.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.92.7
8.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1658
#10
10.31.5
7.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2978
#21
6.72.5
4.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3397
#17
8.91.5
5.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End