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Qual 42011 St. Louis Regional
Red30
35197.1
17239.4
120819.7
Blue69
109414.2
198541.9
12889.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174504060801001203069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
19.70.8
13.5→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.2
1985
#1
41.91.7
25.1→26.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1723
#19
9.40.6
4.1→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.8
1094
#5
14.22.3
8.2→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3519
#13
7.13.2
7.1→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
1288
#26
9.62.3
7.8→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—