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Qual 472011 St. Louis Regional
Red51
109414.2
165810.3
240811.6
Blue16
29022.1
29178.0
283811.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230103040506070805116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#5
14.21.2
12.5→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
2838
#8
11.90.6
12.9→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2408
#15
11.61.1
11.3→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
2917
#27
8.00.6
9.4→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1658
#10
10.31.2
9.3→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
2902
#18
2.10.6
2.4→1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—