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Red45
3624.2
39701.4
96841.7
Blue5
2854-2.3
30452.1
97334.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40370206080100120140455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
41.70.3
37.337.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
973
Unranked
34.31.6
33.832.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
362
Unranked
4.20.3
2.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3045
Unranked
2.11.6
3.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3970
Unranked
1.40.4
0.30.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2854
Unranked
-2.31.6
0.7-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End