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Qual 152011 North Carolina Regional
Red37
52716.4
5873.9
122515.2
Blue0
38223.8
33362.7
37383.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291102040506070370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#12
16.40.5
13.7→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
3822
#45
3.81.1
5.1→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1225
#9
15.20.7
7.0→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.8
3738
#33
3.41.4
3.4→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
587
#35
3.90.7
5.4→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
3336
#43
2.71.1
5.4→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—