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Red4
264211.3
36619.2
36801.6
Blue66
37013.7
34938.6
4844.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1253020406080100120140466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#19Sur
11.30.8
7.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.1
48
#5
44.31.0
36.737.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3661
#39
9.21.2
6.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3493
#16
8.61.6
6.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3680
#42
1.61.2
4.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3701
#36Sur
3.71.6
3.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End