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Red3
374411.2
20558.7
37383.4
Blue2
350612.2
32296.0
9008.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321040608010012014016032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3744
#32
11.20.9
8.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3506
#47
12.21.5
6.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.70.9
3.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
900
#24
8.81.0
10.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3738
#33
3.40.9
2.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3229
#48
6.01.5
3.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End