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Red0
36801.6
122515.2
275133.1
Blue44
175812.3
44921.2
4359.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534010203040506070044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.7
23.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
449
#1
21.20.4
20.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.21.9
6.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1758
#15
12.30.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3680
#42
1.62.8
3.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
435
#23
9.20.7
6.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End