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Qual 442011 North Carolina Regional
Red0
3845-1.6
37013.7
38223.8
Blue33
14132.4
374411.2
26555.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110203040033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#45
3.80.9
0.8→-0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
3744
#32
11.21.7
7.9→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3701
#36
3.70.9
8.0→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
2655
#37
5.21.0
3.8→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3845
#49
-1.60.9
2.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
1413
#46
2.41.7
0.4→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—