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Qual 502011 North Carolina Regional
Red0
34327.7
33715.6
3845-1.6
Blue71
334614.4
128717.1
131924.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36480206080100120071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#6
27.71.9
29.3→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
1319
#14
24.71.2
23.3→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3371
#22
5.61.9
7.4→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.5
1287
#17
17.11.2
13.5→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3845
#49
-1.63.2
1.3→-1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.0
3346
#18
14.42.1
9.5→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—