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Red41
26555.2
175812.3
38113.2
Blue0
374411.2
35404.5
52716.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17330104050607080410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#15
12.31.1
10.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
527
#12
16.41.5
17.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#37
5.21.1
4.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3744
#32
11.22.5
9.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3811
#51
3.21.8
3.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3540
#27
4.52.5
2.90.4
Auto
Teleop
End