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Red82
15399.0
37383.4
275133.1
Blue2
34938.6
34025.9
37632.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3880206080100822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.12.4
25.027.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.5
3493
#16
8.60.8
5.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1539
#34
9.02.4
6.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3402
#31
5.90.8
6.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3738
#33
3.44.0
1.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3763
#41
2.50.8
0.8-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End