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Red80
275133.1
36619.2
33715.6
Blue50
319618.7
350612.2
35404.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392702060801008050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.12.2
27.429.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
3196
#13
18.71.0
19.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3661
#39
9.23.1
5.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3506
#47
12.21.6
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3371
#22
5.62.2
3.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3540
#27
4.51.6
2.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End