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Qual 782011 North Carolina Regional
Red0
32702.5
37151.9
334614.4
Blue29
34025.9
37465.1
36801.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27220406080029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3346
#18
14.41.7
15.4→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
3402
#31
5.91.6
5.5→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3270
#52
2.51.8
3.5→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.6
3746
#50
5.11.6
-0.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3715
#38
1.91.8
4.6→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
3680
#42
1.61.6
1.2→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—