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Qual 812011 North Carolina Regional
Red39
345910.6
14132.4
128717.1
Blue15
175812.3
264211.3
37383.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26320204060801001201403915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#17
17.10.6
15.3→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
1758
#15
12.30.8
13.8→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3459
#7
10.60.8
10.4→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
2642
#19
11.30.8
12.7→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1413
#46
2.40.8
1.6→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.0
3738
#33
3.41.2
4.6→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—