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Red119
150347.2
248124.7
32427.6
Blue80
173230.7
280925.6
35311.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806405010015020011980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
#19
47.22.1
48.850.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
1732
#56
30.70.7
31.331.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2481
#42
24.72.1
23.225.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2809
#51
25.60.7
24.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3242
#43
7.62.1
5.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
353
#32
11.20.7
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End