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Red84
345624.2
23620.2
212240.7
Blue97
7843.6
62433.9
173125.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010601502008497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#35
40.70.8
41.442.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
78
#4
43.60.1
39.038.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3456
#10
24.20.9
12.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
624
#15
33.90.1
36.035.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
236
#53
20.20.8
12.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1731
#22
25.60.1
23.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End