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Red98
33584.7
7843.6
300924.1
Blue3
38801.7
310312.5
32427.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7516050100150200983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#4
43.61.6
43.344.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
3103
#44
12.51.1
13.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3009
#30
24.11.6
19.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
3242
#43
7.61.1
5.54.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3358
#84
4.71.6
3.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3880
#63
1.71.1
6.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End