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Red118
354727.2
52542.4
313837.3
Blue79
312611.1
62433.9
300924.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11756010015020011879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#14
42.40.5
45.145.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
624
#15
33.90.7
33.233.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.30.5
36.837.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3009
#30
24.10.7
22.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3547
#11
27.20.5
25.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
3126
#73
11.10.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End