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Red82
13125.3
2014.8
4029.6
Blue117
17521.1
151930.7
17621.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687002040608010012014016082117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
#13
29.60.3
29.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
30.71.0
29.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
#1
25.30.3
24.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
176
#12
21.61.0
20.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
20
#32
14.80.3
14.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
175
#3
21.11.0
19.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End