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Red100
13125.3
83623.7
18318.9
Blue26
8859.2
618.8
5627.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121040608010010026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#1
25.36.7
6.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
885
#30
9.20.3
3.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
#5
23.76.7
9.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
61
#31
8.80.3
13.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#46
8.96.7
3.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
562
#28
7.00.3
5.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End