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Red25
17211.7
1289-0.1
35668.4
Blue1
18318.9
15122.5
1335.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9220406080100120140160251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#9
11.71.1
2.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1831
#46
8.91.6
9.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3566
#10
8.41.1
6.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
133
#18
5.41.6
6.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1289
#44
-0.11.1
2.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1512
#43
2.51.6
4.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End