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Red41
17211.7
13819.7
12777.1
Blue11
1289-0.1
2014.8
1669.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26250102030405060704111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#21
19.71.4
17.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
20
#32
14.81.3
11.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
#9
11.71.4
3.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
166
#27
9.21.3
11.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1277
#39
7.11.4
3.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1289
#44
-0.11.3
3.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End