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Qual 542011 BAE Systems/Granite State Regional
Red2
151930.7
2385.6
17299.2
Blue31
35668.4
346713.4
307419.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4727020406080100120140231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#8
30.73.5
30.6→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.6
3074
#6
19.20.1
13.5→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1729
#11
9.23.5
9.1→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
3467
#16
13.40.1
10.7→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
238
#33
5.63.5
4.6→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
3566
#10
8.40.1
6.1→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—