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Red21
17621.6
1335.4
1514.2
Blue13
12474.8
15179.1
13072.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34150204060801002113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#12
21.60.7
19.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1517
#19
9.10.3
9.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
#18
5.40.7
6.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1247
#38
4.80.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
151
#45
4.20.7
4.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1307
#35
2.70.3
3.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End