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Red53
307419.2
81120.9
105814.6
Blue89
17621.6
151930.7
17521.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537001001505389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#2
20.90.0
21.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
30.70.4
28.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.20.0
19.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
176
#12
21.60.4
19.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
#23
14.60.0
14.814.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
175
#3
21.10.4
19.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End