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Qual 172011 New Jersey Regional
Red33
8697.8
201631.9
13916.8
Blue9
36374.1
36071.0
25779.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364206080100120339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#7
31.90.1
17.6→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.4
2577
#38
9.50.0
4.2→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
869
#19
7.80.1
6.3→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
3637
#52
4.10.0
2.3→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1391
#48
6.80.1
7.6→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
3607
#40
1.00.0
2.2→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—