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Qual 242011 New Jersey Regional
Red36
192322.3
15477.7
5553.4
Blue5
13916.8
418.3
36071.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201601030405060365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#3
22.31.4
8.5→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.9
41
#41
8.31.0
6.6→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1547
#35
7.71.4
4.6→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
1391
#48
6.81.0
7.8→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
555
#46
3.41.4
6.5→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
3607
#40
1.01.0
2.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—