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Qual 282011 New Jersey Regional
Red38
8697.8
83414.5
26075.7
Blue9
22651.4
21997.6
24954.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141850100150200250300350389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#29
14.52.0
4.2→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
2199
#22
7.60.7
6.0→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
869
#19
7.82.0
6.4→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
2495
#53
4.40.7
6.2→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2607
#31
5.72.0
4.0→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
2265
#51
1.40.7
5.2→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—