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Qual 322011 New Jersey Regional
Red6
11551.9
35155.0
13824.0
Blue82
2238.6
121829.7
2193.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129020406080100120140682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3515
#45
5.00.6
5.6→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 24.7
1218
#12
29.74.6
21.3→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1382
#56
4.00.6
2.5→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.6
223
#54
8.64.6
3.0→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1155
#49
1.90.6
5.6→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
219
#39
3.64.6
2.3→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—