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Qual 352011 New Jersey Regional
Red3
25779.5
19212.6
24583.9
Blue48
192322.3
759.9
186014.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20290406080100120348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#20
12.61.5
10.9→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.7
1923
#3
22.31.7
9.9→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2577
#38
9.51.5
3.8→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
1860
#24
14.51.7
10.9→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2458
#36
3.91.5
6.5→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
75
#21
9.91.7
7.3→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—