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Qual 372011 New Jersey Regional
Red38
5229.3
18803.9
167635.1
Blue57
24954.4
164712.9
418.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342204060801003857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#1
35.10.5
22.7→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.2
1647
#9
12.92.8
12.6→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
522
#57
9.30.5
3.6→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
41
#41
8.32.8
5.7→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1880
#32
3.90.5
6.1→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
2495
#53
4.42.8
5.5→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—