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Qual 392011 New Jersey Regional
Red12
81614.0
12307.6
18078.4
Blue6
5553.4
18813.4
26075.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513020406080126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#10
14.00.9
8.0→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
2607
#31
5.70.7
5.9→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1807
#42
8.40.9
12.2→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.0
1881
#59
3.40.7
1.2→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1230
#17
7.60.9
3.2→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.1
555
#46
3.40.7
7.9→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—