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Qual 462011 New Jersey Regional
Red14
83414.5
12286.8
2248.0
Blue5
5553.4
23448.5
35155.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2421010304050607080145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#29
14.50.8
11.5→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2344
#25
8.51.4
9.2→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
224
#23
8.00.8
6.3→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
3515
#45
5.01.4
5.0→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1228
#4
6.80.8
5.7→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
555
#46
3.41.4
7.2→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—