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Qual 482011 New Jersey Regional
Red44
218010.4
121829.7
12307.6
Blue33
24954.4
33145.7
108921.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332504060801004433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#12
29.71.0
25.9→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
1089
#8
21.60.6
11.3→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2180
#5
10.41.0
3.4→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
3314
#55
5.70.6
6.2→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1230
#17
7.61.0
2.2→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
2495
#53
4.40.6
8.3→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—