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Qual 72011 New Jersey Regional
Red6
2193.6
13916.8
23448.5
Blue5
218010.4
6139.8
48616.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2620040608065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#25
8.51.6
9.7→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.6
486
#6
16.11.3
9.3→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1391
#48
6.81.6
9.2→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.7
2180
#5
10.41.3
7.2→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
219
#39
3.61.6
6.0→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
613
#33
9.81.3
4.1→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—