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Qual 822011 New Jersey Regional
Red21
22651.4
164712.9
108921.6
Blue18
18813.4
13824.0
13916.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43802060801001201402118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#8
21.61.2
21.9→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.8
1391
#48
6.80.3
6.4→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1647
#9
12.91.2
13.2→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.9
1382
#56
4.00.3
3.7→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2265
#51
1.41.3
2.7→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
1881
#59
3.40.3
3.1→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—