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Qual 852011 New Jersey Regional
Red36
1814.0
21997.6
6139.8
Blue7
2238.6
5553.4
36374.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191801030405060367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
613
#33
9.81.3
8.4→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
223
#54
8.60.8
9.5→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2199
#22
7.61.3
6.4→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
3637
#52
4.10.8
5.0→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
181
#15
4.01.3
2.8→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
555
#46
3.40.8
4.3→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—