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Qual 902011 New Jersey Regional
Red3
6233.4
7090.5
24954.4
Blue64
1363.8
2248.0
192322.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726020406080100364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#53
4.40.5
4.8→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.9
1923
#3
22.32.9
17.8→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
623
#44
3.40.5
3.9→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.6
224
#23
8.02.9
5.1→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
709
#27
0.50.5
1.0→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
136
#50
3.83.1
0.7→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—