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Semifinal 2-12011 New Jersey Regional
Red47
272913.9
121829.7
19212.6
Blue65
164712.9
108921.6
10210.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801001201401604765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#12
29.70.3
30.5→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
1089
#8
21.60.4
21.7→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2729
#11
13.90.3
14.8→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1647
#9
12.90.4
13.1→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
192
#20
12.60.3
13.5→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
102
#26
10.20.5
10.3→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—