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Semifinal 2-22011 New Jersey Regional
Red66
272913.9
121829.7
19212.6
Blue38
10210.2
108921.6
164712.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001201401606638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#12
29.70.2
30.3→30.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
1089
#8
21.60.2
22.1→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2729
#11
13.90.2
14.5→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1647
#9
12.90.2
13.5→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
192
#20
12.60.2
13.2→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
102
#26
10.20.2
10.8→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—