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Quarterfinal 2-12011 Las Vegas Regional
Red81
248526.9
301912.2
24039.5
Blue40
172614.8
263725.8
16614.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801001208140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#9
26.90.5
26.8→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
2637
#6
25.80.3
25.9→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3019
#5
12.20.5
12.1→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.6
1726
#14
14.80.3
15.0→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2403
#15
9.50.5
9.4→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.6
166
#16
14.20.3
14.2→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—