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Red18
16319.3
955-1.6
115815.3
Blue2
20575.4
30111.9
24968.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21180103040182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
#20
15.30.2
12.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2496
#31
8.40.9
11.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1631
#17
9.30.2
9.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2057
#18
5.41.4
1.90.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
955
#33
-1.60.1
-0.7-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3011
#34
1.91.4
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End