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Red0
21742.2
17808.7
16614.2
Blue54
119726.5
20575.4
10114.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234206080100120054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#16
14.21.3
12.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1197
#10
26.50.8
25.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1780
#25
8.72.2
8.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2057
#18
5.41.3
7.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2174
#37
2.22.2
5.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1011
#32
4.10.8
6.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End