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Red8
35693.9
115815.3
172614.8
Blue45
300918.9
24039.5
31558.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3539010203050607080845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
#20
15.31.8
15.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
18.90.5
17.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1726
#14
14.81.4
15.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2403
#15
9.50.3
10.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3569
#39
3.91.8
4.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
3155
#11
8.90.5
9.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End