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Red100
52710.2
39524.6
35929.9
Blue43
33513.3
280913.0
123016.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6638020608010012010043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
29.90.9
29.029.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
1230
#15
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
#1
24.60.9
23.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
335
#2
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
527
#58
10.20.9
9.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2809
#25
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End